Monthly Chart
Daily Chart
Preference:
Short positions below 1.0150 with targets 0.9200 – 0.8850
Period of Time:
1 – 5 Months
Basis:
- Triple Top breakout on Daily chart
- The price on Weekly and Daily charts is under EMA 200.
- Bearish Candle with long body on May/2013 Chart.
- Expectation of AUD Further monetary policy easing (cash rate reduce).
- Narrowing of the yield spread between benchmark US and Australian 10-year bond yields. This implies an Aussie-negative realignment of investors’ perceptions of relative returns to be had from holding one currency over the other.
- Ausie is getting weak versus EUR, GBP, NZD and other currencies.
- Possible QE3 ending program and USD Federal funds rate increase.
- Steel and gold prices under pressure.
- China’s Zero-Growth Economy (main trading partner).